HVAC Rated

Severe winters · Mild summers

Best heat pumps for Syracuse, NY

Syracuse averages 7.7 nights a year at or below 0°F, so pick a cold-climate certified model and check its output at 5°F.

A typical heat pump costs about $3,006 a year to heat a house here and $270 to cool it. A 95% gas furnace would cost $1,707 for the same heat.

Cheapest to run in Syracuse

Ranked by yearly electricity cost in this climate, so the balance of heating and cooling efficiency is the one that matters here. Cold-climate certified models only.

Running cost calculator for Syracuse

Pre-filled with Syracuse's climate and New York prices. Pick a model, tell it what you heat with today, and add your quote.

Heat pump $2,157/yrCosts more by $499/yrSee details ↓
1. Where you live
Adjust heating and cooling hours

Filled in from your city's climate. Change them if you run the system much more or less than usual.

2. The heat pump pick a model or type its ratings
3. What it replaces
4. Price replace the example with your quote
Heat pump, per year
$2,157
Current system, per year
$1,658
Costs more per year
$499
Payback
No payback
Net after 10 years
-$13,995

Cooling $153Heating $2,004Electricity used: 7,607 kWhSaved vs. a minimum-efficiency heat pump: $462

Estimates use the unit's rated SEER2 and HSPF2, full-load hours derived from NOAA 1991-2020 degree days, average residential electricity prices from the U.S. EIA (12 months to July 2026) and fuel prices from EIA (2025 for natural gas, week of 2026-10-05 for propane and heating oil). Very cold days that need backup heat are not modelled. Federal minimum for comparison: 14.3 SEER2 / 7.5 HSPF2.

More for Syracuse

Top 5 12,000 BTU mini-splitsfrom $678/yr
Top 5 24,000 BTU mini-splitsfrom $1,355/yr
ModelSEER2HSPF2Per year
SLIMAIR SHC24VH2AG27.514.5$1,355
MDV MOD30-24HFN10-M1X22.313.5$1,473
Arcoaire D5CSHAH24AAK21.213.5$1,481
Comfort-Aire A-VHP24SA-121.013.5$1,482
Mainline ML24HP230NEXH-O22.313.3$1,494

All 24,000 BTU mini-splits

Top 5 3-ton central heat pumpsfrom $2,372/yr
ModelSEER2HSPF2Per year
TOSHIBA CARRIER MCY-MUB0368HS2P-UL29.712.2$2,372
LG KUSXA361A23.510.5$2,772
Trane 5TWV0X36A121.010.5$2,795
Lennox SL22KLV-036-230A20.510.5$2,801
Lennox EL21KLV-036-230A20.010.4$2,831

All 3-ton central heat pumps

Heat pump vs. gas, propane and oilgas is cheaper to run

Yearly cost to heat a typical house (36,000 BTU/h of heat, 2,650 full-load hours) at New York prices.

  • Natural gas furnace, 95% AFUE$1,707/yr
  • Natural gas furnace, 80% AFUE$2,027/yr
  • Heat pump (typical, 9.0 HSPF2)$3,006/yr
  • Propane furnace, 95% AFUE$4,026/yr
  • Heating oil, 85% AFUE$5,049/yr
  • Electric baseboard or furnace$7,929/yr

Electricity and natural gas: New York residential averages from the U.S. EIA; propane and heating oil: latest EIA weekly prices.

Month by monthpeak $578 in January

Heating and cooling degree days (NOAA 1991-2020 normals) and what a typical 3-ton heat pump costs in each month at 28.4¢/kWh.

MonthHeating DDCooling DDCost
January1,2680$578
February1,1050$504
March9670$442
April5654$259
May24334$126
June55115$75
July6218$98
August14180$85
September12663$85
October4315$199
November7350$335
December1,0730$489
What size heat pump for a Syracuse home?5 ton for 2,000 sq ft
  • 1,000 sq ft house2.5 ton · heating load 27,000 BTU/h
  • 1,500 sq ft house3.5 ton · heating load 40,500 BTU/h
  • 2,000 sq ft house5 ton · heating load 54,000 BTU/h
  • 2,500 sq ft house5+ ton · heating load 67,500 BTU/h

Average insulation, 8 ft ceilings. Size calculator for your own home

Questions4
Do heat pumps work in Syracuse winters?
Syracuse averages 7.7 nights a year at or below 0°F, so pick a cold-climate certified model and check its output at 5°F. The average winter low is 19°F, and the heating season adds up to 6,588 heating degree days (NOAA 1991-2020 normals).
How much does it cost to run a heat pump in Syracuse?
A typical 3-ton central heat pump (17.0 SEER2, 9.0 HSPF2) uses about $3,006 of electricity a year for heating and $270 for cooling in Syracuse, at the New York average of 28.4¢/kWh. The most efficient models cost less - see the rankings above.
Is a heat pump cheaper than a gas furnace in Syracuse?
Not on heating alone at today's prices: about $3,006 a year with a typical heat pump versus $1,707 with a 95% gas furnace (New York averages: 28.4¢/kWh, $1.70/therm). A high-HSPF2 model narrows the gap, and a heat pump also replaces the air conditioner. Against propane, oil or electric heat it is usually far cheaper.
What size heat pump do I need for a 2,000 sq ft house in Syracuse?
With average insulation, roughly a 5-ton system: the estimated cooling load is 27,600 BTU/h and the heating load 54,000 BTU/h. Use the size calculator for your own house, and ask installers for a Manual J calculation.

Nearby cities

Climate: NOAA 1991-2020 normals, station SYRACUSE HANCOCK INTL AP (8 km away).