Do heat pumps work in Fort Worth winters?

Winters in Fort Worth are mild, so heating efficiency matters less than cooling. The average winter low is 39°F, and the heating season adds up to 2,026 heating degree days (NOAA 1991-2020 normals).

How much does it cost to run a heat pump in Fort Worth?

A typical 3-ton central heat pump (17.0 SEER2, 9.0 HSPF2) uses about $512 of electricity a year for heating and $695 for cooling in Fort Worth, at the Texas average of 16.0¢/kWh. The most efficient models cost less - see the rankings above.

Is a heat pump cheaper than a gas furnace in Fort Worth?

Yes, for heating at today's prices: about $512 a year with a typical heat pump versus $567 with a 95% gas furnace, using Texas averages of 16.0¢/kWh and $1.87/therm.

What size heat pump do I need for a 2,000 sq ft house in Fort Worth?

With average insulation, roughly a 3-ton system: the estimated cooling load is 32,100 BTU/h and the heating load 30,000 BTU/h. Use the size calculator for your own house, and ask installers for a Manual J calculation.

Mild winters · Hot summers

Best heat pumps for Fort Worth, TX

Winters in Fort Worth are mild, so heating efficiency matters less than cooling.

A typical heat pump costs about $512 a year to heat a house here and $695 to cool it. A 95% gas furnace would cost $567 for the same heat, so the heat pump is cheaper to run.

Nights at or below 0°F0 a year
Nights at or below 20°F3.1 a year
Days at or above 90°F114 a year
Average winter low39°F
Average summer high95°F
Electricity16.0¢ per kWh
Natural gas$1.87 per therm

Cheapest to run in Fort Worth

Ranked by yearly electricity cost in this climate, so the balance of heating and cooling efficiency is the one that matters here.

Best 12,000 BTU mini-split

Fujitsu AOUH12KTAP1

12,000 BTU mini-split · AIRSTAGE H-Series · cold-climate certified

SEER2: 31.5
HSPF2: 13.7
Per year here: $237

For one large room.

Full specs and running cost

Best 24,000 BTU mini-split

SLIMAIR SHC24VH2AG

24,000 BTU mini-split · SHC Series · cold-climate certified

SEER2: 27.5
HSPF2: 14.5
Per year here: $498

For open-plan floor or small home.

Full specs and running cost

Best 3-ton central heat pump

TOSHIBA CARRIER MCY-MUB0368HS2P-UL

3 ton central · cold-climate certified

SEER2: 29.7
HSPF2: 12.2
Per year here: $775

For typical whole house.

Full specs and running cost

Running cost calculator for Fort Worth

Pre-filled with Fort Worth's climate and Texas prices. Pick a model, tell it what you heat with today, and add your quote.

Heat pump $735/yrYou save $501/yrSee details ↓

1. Where you live

StateCityElectricity ¢ per kWh

Adjust heating and cooling hours

Filled in from your city's climate. Change them if you run the system much more or less than usual.

Cooling hours full-load hours per yearHeating hours full-load hours per year

2. The heat pump pick a model or type its ratings

Find a model (fills in the ratings below)

SEER2 cooling efficiencyHSPF2 heating efficiencyCooling capacity BTU/hHeating capacity BTU/h

3. What it replaces

Current heatingFurnace efficiency (AFUE %)Gas price, $/thermCurrent coolingOld AC rating SEER2 (10 ≈ 15+ years old)

4. Price replace the example with your quote

Installed price, $Rebates and incentives, $ utility, state

Heat pump, per year: $735
Current system, per year: $1,236
You save per year: $501
Payback: 18.0 years
Net after 10 years: -$3,989

Cooling $394Heating $341Electricity used: 4,593 kWhSaved vs. a minimum-efficiency heat pump: $225

Estimates use the unit's rated SEER2 and HSPF2, full-load hours derived from NOAA 1991-2020 degree days, average residential electricity prices from the U.S. EIA (12 months to July 2026) and fuel prices from EIA (2025 for natural gas, week of 2026-10-05 for propane and heating oil). Very cold days that need backup heat are not modelled. Federal minimum for comparison: 14.3 SEER2 / 7.5 HSPF2.

More for Fort Worth

Top 5 12,000 BTU mini-splitsfrom $237/yr

Model	SEER2	HSPF2	Per year
Fujitsu AOUH12KTAP1	31.5	13.7	$237
MDV MOX430-12HFN1-MZ60W	27.5	14.5	$249
Goodman MSH123G26MCAA	27.5	14.5	$249
Fujitsu AOUH12KZAH1	30.5	12.7	$250
Fujitsu AOUG12LZAS1	29.4	12.9	$253

All 12,000 BTU mini-splits

Top 5 24,000 BTU mini-splitsfrom $498/yr

Model	SEER2	HSPF2	Per year
SLIMAIR SHC24VH2AG	27.5	14.5	$498
Quilt QO1-M3Z27-NC-NA	25.3	12.0	$567
MDV MOD30-24HFN10-M1X	22.3	13.5	$581
Mainline ML24HP230NEXH-O	22.3	13.3	$584
ComfortStar CHF3-24CD(O)	22.3	13.3	$584

All 24,000 BTU mini-splits

Top 5 3-ton central heat pumpsfrom $775/yr

Model	SEER2	HSPF2	Per year
TOSHIBA CARRIER MCY-MUB0368HS2P-UL	29.7	12.2	$775
LG KUSXA361A	23.5	10.5	$941
LG KUSXB361A	22.0	10.3	$984
Trane 5TWV0X36A1	21.0	10.5	$1,001
Heil H5H3V36KAAA	22.5	9.5	$1,010

All 3-ton central heat pumps

Heat pump vs. gas, propane and oilheat pump is cheaper than gas

Yearly cost to heat a typical house (36,000 BTU/h of heat, 800 full-load hours) at Texas prices.

Heat pump (typical, 9.0 HSPF2)$512/yr
Natural gas furnace, 95% AFUE$567/yr
Natural gas furnace, 80% AFUE$673/yr
Propane furnace, 95% AFUE$1,028/yr
Electric baseboard or furnace$1,351/yr
Heating oil, 85% AFUE$1,461/yr

Electricity and natural gas: Texas residential averages from the U.S. EIA; propane and heating oil: latest EIA weekly prices.

Month by monthpeak $155 in August

Heating and cooling degree days (NOAA 1991-2020 normals) and what a typical 3-ton heat pump costs in each month at 16.0¢/kWh.

Month	Heating DD	Cooling DD	Cost
January	535	3	$136
February	378	12	$98
March	213	45	$64
April	62	130	$46
May	9	305	$74
June	0	522	$122
July	0	656	$154
August	0	663	$155
September	2	410	$97
October	58	181	$57
November	267	32	$75
December	501	6	$128

What size heat pump for a Fort Worth home?3 ton for 2,000 sq ft

1,000 sq ft house2 ton · heating load 15,000 BTU/h
1,500 sq ft house2.5 ton · heating load 22,500 BTU/h
2,000 sq ft house3 ton · heating load 30,000 BTU/h
2,500 sq ft house3 ton · heating load 37,500 BTU/h

Average insulation, 8 ft ceilings. Size calculator for your own home

Questions4

Do heat pumps work in Fort Worth winters?: Winters in Fort Worth are mild, so heating efficiency matters less than cooling. The average winter low is 39°F, and the heating season adds up to 2,026 heating degree days (NOAA 1991-2020 normals).
How much does it cost to run a heat pump in Fort Worth?: A typical 3-ton central heat pump (17.0 SEER2, 9.0 HSPF2) uses about $512 of electricity a year for heating and $695 for cooling in Fort Worth, at the Texas average of 16.0¢/kWh. The most efficient models cost less - see the rankings above.
Is a heat pump cheaper than a gas furnace in Fort Worth?: Yes, for heating at today's prices: about $512 a year with a typical heat pump versus $567 with a 95% gas furnace, using Texas averages of 16.0¢/kWh and $1.87/therm.
What size heat pump do I need for a 2,000 sq ft house in Fort Worth?: With average insulation, roughly a 3-ton system: the estimated cooling load is 32,100 BTU/h and the heating load 30,000 BTU/h. Use the size calculator for your own house, and ask installers for a Manual J calculation.

Nearby cities

Climate: NOAA 1991-2020 normals, station FT WORTH MEACHAM FLD NAAF (4 km away).