HVAC Rated

18,000 BTU mini-split heat pump · 38MAR-series

Carrier 38MARBQ18AA3

Below average cooling efficiency and very good heating efficiency for a 18,000 BTU mini-split heat pump, and certified for cold climates.

Ranks #263 of 465 18,000 BTU mini-splits for cooling efficiency, and costs about $434 a year to run in a mixed climate like Atlanta.

SEER2
21.5 Cooling efficiency over a season
Below average · beats 39%
HSPF2
11.3 Heating efficiency over a season
Very good · beats 81%
EER2
12.5 Cooling efficiency on a 95°F day
Average · beats 44%
Heat at 5°F
18,000 BTU/h100% of its 47°F output
Very good · beats 78%

A good fit if…

  • Your winters get properly cold - it is ENERGY STAR cold-climate certified, with 18,000 BTU/h at 5°F.
  • It will heat most of the year - its HSPF2 beats 81% of mini-splits.
  • You want steady temperatures and quiet running - the compressor varies its speed.
  • You want a choice of indoor units - 45 certified pairings.

Think twice if…

  • Cooling cost matters most - its SEER2 is below average for mini-splits.
  • You want the newest refrigerant - it uses R-410A, which is being phased down.

Calculate my running cost

Details

Specifications18,000 BTU, R-410A
General
BrandCarrier
Also sold asBryant, Payne, Midea, WeatherMaker
Outdoor unit model38MARBQ18AA3
Series38MAR-series
TypeMini-split heat pump
Nominal size18,000 BTU
CompressorVariable-speed units run longer at low powerContinuously variable
RefrigerantR-410A
Connected (smart) capableNo
On the market sinceJanuary 1, 2018
Last certifiedJune 13, 2026
Cooling
SEER2Seasonal efficiency, higher is better21.5 (range 17.6-21.5)
EER2Efficiency at 95°F outdoors11.7-12.5
Cooling capacity16,000-18,000 BTU/h
Heating
HSPF2Seasonal efficiency, higher is better9.5-11.3
Capacity at 47°F17,000-20,000 BTU/h
Capacity at 17°F10,900-15,800 BTU/h
Capacity at 5°F16,000-18,000 BTU/h
COP at 5°F2.0 = twice as efficient as a space heater1.75-2.20
ENERGY STAR cold climateYes
Heating output as it gets colder100% kept at 5°F

Every heat pump delivers less heat as the outdoor temperature drops. Certified output of its matchup with 40MAHBQ18XA3 at the standard test temperatures, in BTU/h:

Certified matchups45 indoor units

The same outdoor unit scores differently with each indoor unit. Ask your installer for the AHRI reference number of the exact system you are quoted.

Indoor unitSEER2EER2HSPF2Heat @5°FAHRI ref.
40MAHBQ18XA3 CARRIER · cold climate21.512.511.318,000206348137
619AHBQ18XA3 BRYANT · cold climate21.512.511.318,000206348144
DHMAHBQ18XA3 PAYNE · cold climate21.512.511.318,000206350315
DHMAHBQ18XA3 Weathermaker · cold climate21.512.511.318,000206350325
DHMAHBQ18XA3 MIDEA · cold climate21.512.511.318,000206350320
40MBFQ18---3 MIDEA · cold climate20.512.59.816,800206350378
40MBFQ18---3 Weathermaker · cold climate20.512.59.816,800206350367
40MBFQ18---3 PAYNE · cold climate20.512.59.816,800206350356
40MBFQ18---3 BRYANT · cold climate20.512.59.816,800206350345
40MBFQ18---3 CARRIER · cold climate20.512.59.816,800206350334
40MBCQ18---3 MIDEA · cold climate20.012.59.516,000206350376
40MBCQ18---3 Weathermaker · cold climate20.012.59.516,000206350365
40MBCQ18---3 PAYNE · cold climate20.012.59.516,000206350354
40MBCQ18---3 BRYANT · cold climate20.012.59.516,000206350343
40MBCQ18---3 CARRIER · cold climate20.012.59.516,000206350332
40MCCAQ18XA3 MIDEA · cold climate19.812.511.216,700209270306
40MCCAQ18XA3 Weathermaker · cold climate19.812.511.216,700209270302
40MCCAQ18XA3 PAYNE · cold climate19.812.511.216,700209270298
40MCCAQ18XA3 BRYANT · cold climate19.812.511.216,700209270294
40MCCAQ18XA3 CARRIER · cold climate19.812.511.216,700209270290
DHMSHAQ18XA3 Weathermaker19.412.510.016,400206400668
DHMSHAQ18XA3 MIDEA19.412.510.016,400206400662
DHMSHAQ18XA3 PAYNE19.412.510.016,400206400656
619PEQ018BBMA BRYANT19.412.510.016,400206400650
40MAQB18B--3 CARRIER19.412.510.016,400206400644
40MBDAQ18XH3 MIDEA · cold climate18.012.110.818,000211132964
40MBDAQ18XH3 Weathermaker · cold climate18.012.110.818,000211132952
40MBDAQ18XH3 PAYNE · cold climate18.012.110.818,000211132941
40MBDAQ18XH3 BRYANT · cold climate18.012.110.818,000211132930
40MBDAQ18XH3 CARRIER · cold climate18.012.110.818,000211132918
40MBDQ24---3 MIDEA · cold climate18.012.110.516,000207801582
40MBDQ24---3 Weathermaker · cold climate18.012.110.516,000207801581
40MBDQ24---3 PAYNE · cold climate18.012.110.516,000207801580
40MBDQ24---3 BRYANT · cold climate18.012.110.516,000207801579
40MBDQ24---3 CARRIER · cold climate18.012.110.516,000207801578
40MBDQ18---3 MIDEA · cold climate18.011.79.517,700206350377
40MBDQ18---3 Weathermaker · cold climate18.011.79.517,700206350366
40MBDQ18---3 PAYNE · cold climate18.011.79.517,700206350355
40MBDQ18---3 BRYANT · cold climate18.011.79.517,700206350344
40MBDQ18---3 CARRIER · cold climate18.011.79.517,700206350333
40MBABQ18XB3 · cold climate17.611.79.617,000207826659
40MBABQ18XB3 · cold climate17.611.79.617,000207826679
40MBABQ18XB3 · cold climate17.611.79.617,000207826674
40MBABQ18XB3 · cold climate17.611.79.617,000207826664
40MBABQ18XB3 · cold climate17.611.79.617,000207826669
Yearly running cost in 10 large cities$372-$1,049

At each state's average electricity price and the city's typical heating and cooling hours.

Questions5
What is the SEER2 rating of the Carrier 38MARBQ18AA3?
The Carrier 38MARBQ18AA3 is rated at up to 21.5 SEER2 and 12.5 EER2 for cooling and up to 11.3 HSPF2 for heating. The exact figure depends on the indoor unit it is paired with; across its 45 certified matchups SEER2 ranges from 17.6-21.5.
Is the Carrier 38MARBQ18AA3 good for cold climates?
Yes. At least one certified matchup meets the ENERGY STAR cold-climate criteria, delivering up to 18,000 BTU/h at 5°F with a COP of 2.20, so it is still 2.2 times as efficient as electric resistance heat at that temperature.
How much does the Carrier 38MARBQ18AA3 cost to run per year?
At its rated efficiency it costs about $372-$1,049 a year in electricity in large U.S. cities, depending on climate and local rates - for example $466 in Phoenix and $882 in Minneapolis. The calculator on this page works it out for your city and compares it with your current system.
Which indoor units work with the Carrier 38MARBQ18AA3?
ENERGY STAR lists 45 certified combinations for this outdoor unit. The highest-rated ones use CARRIER 40MAHBQ18XA3, BRYANT 619AHBQ18XA3, PAYNE DHMAHBQ18XA3.
What refrigerant does the Carrier 38MARBQ18AA3 use?
It uses R-410A. R-410A is being phased down under the EPA AIM Act, and new systems are moving to R-454B and R-32.

Running cost and savings

Pre-filled with this model. Pick your city and what you heat with today; everything else is optional.

Heat pump $467/yrYou save $443/yrSee details ↓
1. Where you live
Adjust heating and cooling hours

Filled in from your city's climate. Change them if you run the system much more or less than usual.

2. The heat pump Carrier 38MARBQ18AA3
3. What it replaces
4. Price replace the example with your quote
Heat pump, per year
$467
Current system, per year
$909
You save per year
$443
Payback
14.7 years
Net after 10 years
-$2,074

Cooling $278Heating $188Electricity used: 2,917 kWhSaved vs. a minimum-efficiency heat pump: $236

Estimates use the unit's rated SEER2 and HSPF2, full-load hours derived from NOAA 1991-2020 degree days, average residential electricity prices from the U.S. EIA (12 months to July 2026) and fuel prices from EIA (2025 for natural gas, week of 2026-10-05 for propane and heating oil). Very cold days that need backup heat are not modelled. Federal minimum for comparison: 14.3 SEER2 / 7.5 HSPF2.

Similar 18,000 BTU models

See all 465 18,000 BTU mini-splits, ranked

Source: ENERGY STAR Certified Heat Pumps (U.S. EPA), certification of June 13, 2026. How we use the data.