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Barely any heating season

Best heat pumps for Arizona

In Arizona a heat pump heats for less than gas.

A typical heat pump costs about $278 a year to heat a house, against $305 for a 95% gas furnace, at 15.5¢/kWh and $1.79/therm.

Cheapest to run in Arizona

City guides

Each guide uses that city's own climate data. Typical yearly cost of a 3-ton heat pump, heating plus cooling:

More for Arizona

Heat pump vs. gas, propane and oil$278 vs. $305 gas
  • Heat pump (typical, 9.0 HSPF2)$278/yr
  • Natural gas furnace, 95% AFUE$305/yr
  • Natural gas furnace, 80% AFUE$362/yr
  • Propane furnace, 95% AFUE$498/yr
  • Electric baseboard or furnace$735/yr
  • Heating oil, 85% AFUE$822/yr
Top 8: 3-ton central heat pumpsfrom $759/yr

All 3-ton heat pumps

Top 8: 12,000 BTU mini-splitsfrom $235/yr

All 12,000 BTU mini-splits

Climate in the state's citiesNOAA normals
  • Phoenix0.0 nights ≤ 0°F · 159 days ≥ 90°F
  • Tucson0.0 nights ≤ 0°F · 158 days ≥ 90°F
  • Mesa0.0 nights ≤ 0°F · 173 days ≥ 90°F
  • Scottsdale0.0 nights ≤ 0°F · 161 days ≥ 90°F
  • Yuma0.0 nights ≤ 0°F · 181 days ≥ 90°F
Questions2
Is a heat pump worth it in Arizona?
At Arizona prices a typical heat pump heats a house for about $278 a year, against $305 for a 95% gas furnace, so it is cheaper to run even before counting that it replaces the air conditioner.
Do I need a cold-climate heat pump in Arizona?
Generally not. None of the Arizona cities we track has winters cold enough to require a cold-climate model, although one still helps on the coldest nights.

Running cost calculator

Pre-filled with Arizona prices. Pick your city and what you heat with today.

Heat pump $733/yrYou save $604/yrSee details ↓
1. Where you live
Adjust heating and cooling hours

Filled in from your city's climate. Change them if you run the system much more or less than usual.

2. The heat pump pick a model or type its ratings
3. What it replaces
4. Price replace the example with your quote
Heat pump, per year
$733
Current system, per year
$1,337
You save per year
$604
Payback
14.9 years
Net after 10 years
-$2,964

Cooling $548Heating $186Electricity used: 4,740 kWhSaved vs. a minimum-efficiency heat pump: $255

Estimates use the unit's rated SEER2 and HSPF2, full-load hours derived from NOAA 1991-2020 degree days, average residential electricity prices from the U.S. EIA (12 months to July 2026) and fuel prices from EIA (2025 for natural gas, week of 2026-10-05 for propane and heating oil). Very cold days that need backup heat are not modelled. Federal minimum for comparison: 14.3 SEER2 / 7.5 HSPF2.

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